Greece is actually a lot saner, I'm coming to
believe, than the US. Five years ago I wouldn't have said the same
thing. We had a mercifully short election season (4 weeks), resulting in
the re-election of the Karamanlis government, which is centre-right. He is
raising pensions and basic salaries for a range of professions, cutting taxes
and trying to put the economy back in order after some ridiculous debt-financed
development during the PASOK years. More and more things are going online here,
making life easier, and the network of KEPs Kentro Exypiretisis Politon
is increasing, which means that we can take care of all the bureaucracy a bit
better. There is really a long way to go until the public sector becomes
productive, but things are happening.
George Papandreou lost the election, with a 4
percent drop in support: it's rare that the main opposition party loses support.
This is a testament to their total lack of credibility in most things. Their
platform comprises mostly empty promises and glowing adjectives and adverbs. In
contrast, Karamanlis campaigned on the basis of the 2008 budget, which has real
benefits, and will be voted on in November.
The contrast with the US is great: a limited
election season, politicians being brought down to earth, greater transparency,
cheaper politics. There are definitely problems, such as the pension crisis,
which will blow open a hole in public finance to about 450% of GDP by 2030 (if
we believe OECD forecasts), but the parties are theoretically starting to work
on this in the coming weeks. The fires have taken a toll, and highlight the
problems with the public services, but in general these are considered very
extreme events, and their memory has largely started to fade, only 3 weeks after
they occurred. There has been a huge outpouring of private support and charity,
and the government has promised all kinds of measures.... let's see what
actually happens. Unless there is real local commitment, I feel that not much
will be done.
Contrasting this to the US: a 2-year
Presidential election season, with probably over $ 2 billion being spent on
all elections next year (primaries, state, congress and presidential).
Candidates like Mitt Romney or Rudy Giuliani who strike me as being totally
arrogant and, frankly, nasty. The Iraq war costing $ 2 billion a week, while
schools, infrastructure and healthcare crumble. The incessant need to consume,
the ground being laid for bombing Iran... No, I'm thinking more than every that
things are better on this side of the Atlantic. Sure, nothing is perfect, but on
the other hand, the playing field has never been more level for Greek citizens,
in Greece and in the EU, and stability and sanity are gradually being agreed
upon by the two major parties.
I think that in the US, the next 14
months, which will bring us through the primaries and to the elections in
November 2008, will be a time of heightened political tension which will drive
extremism, at home and abroad. Iran is playing a very clever, slow waiting
game. I have the feeling Israel will probably pre-empt things, as they did in
Lebanon last year and with the bombing attack in Syria early in September,
against alleged nuclear targets. I feel that more than ever we are sitting on a
powder keg with a slow-burning fuse, and something will explode sooner rather
than later. Maybe it's Bin Laden's latest call for jihad against Musharaf in
Pakistan? Maybe it's Lebanon imploding again? Maybe it's some new Iranian
strategy in Iraq or the Persian Gulf to draw the US into an attack? It's very
hard to tell. The only sure thing is that broadly speaking, the initiative
is in the hands of political and religious extremists in Iran, Iraq, Lebanon,
Gaza, Pakistan and Afghanistan, and that's not a good situation to be in, for
anyone.
Anyway, I'm going to sit out the US political
process until a Democratic candidate is decided in the primaries, or until
Bloomberg decides to run. If Bloomberg runs, I'll probably vote for him as a
protest vote (depending on his platform, of course). Otherwise, I'm hoping it
will be Hillary, as one of the least bad candidates. It's always this way, I
suppose. And, if I have any energy left next year around March-April, I may try
to get re-involved in getting out the Democratic vote in Greece. But more and
more I feel that individuals votes are irrelevant, and that elections are
decided in favour of very powerful yet very limited special interests, and no
matter how much outrage there may be among the "average citizens", there are few
real political options available.
Or maybe I'm just burned out :-)
Anyway, please keep up your good work with
these websites: they are a really valuable tool, particularly the history sites.
Keep well,
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